The world seems to be in real turmoil at the
moment and i try to avoid politics as much as possible on the channel but with what has
been happening in France of late with the yellow vest protests, has me thinking. Especially when the mainstream media outlets
are barely covering it. Could be seeing the collapse of an empire? We all know something about history. The Mongols, the Chinese dynasties, Rome and
the countless others we have studied the rise and fall of these countries and cultures. Could western civilization be about to become
the next to be consigned to the history books?? The political economist Benjamin Friedman
thinks so. He once compared modern western society to
a stable bicycle whose wheels are kept spinning by economic growth. So what happens when the wheels come off? Let’s take a look and ask if , today, we
are witnessing the fall of the west. Welcome to if videos on history and mystery
Hit that subscribe button and ring that bell so you never miss a video again. The west has risen to power over the centuries
with the capitalist systems shared between countries creating an alliance of ideals. Has being on top for so long left us with
a false sense hubris? Has no one stop to ask what could happen if
the momentum stops? The founding principles of democracy the liberty
of individual’s social tolerance collapsing in chaos. Peoples of the many countries turning to violence
as they grab at the last economic resources pulling ranks and targeting others outside
of their immediate group. This then leading to a total societal collapse!! As mentioned in the introduction all civilization
eventually collapse. The causes of these collapse may vary but
not one civilization has been immune to the changes of time. in the article Mr. Friedman says excluding
global species ending events like an asteroid strike, nuclear winter or deadly pandemic
, we can see signs from each collapse a pattern that we could use as warnings that the west
is about to follow suit, unless we heed histories lessons and change our ways. So let’s dig a little deeper and ask if
we are at a point of no return? Today we have an advantage that civilizations
of the past did not, computers. These computers are being put to use analyzing
the mechanisms that can lead to local or global sustainability or collapse. Safa Motesharrei and others have mapped the
trends of ecological strain and economic stratification, the division in class and the increasing wealth
gap. The ecological threats are easy for people
to see and actions are taking place in an attempt to right the wrongs but the economic
models are a little more complex. He made the statement that I think many would
agree with “Disaster comes when elites push society
toward instability and eventual collapse by hoarding huge quantities of wealth and resources”
The divisions are widening and this is making the economic situation worse. Motesharrei and his colleagues give a scenario,
where the elites push society toward instability and eventual collapse by hoarding huge quantities
of wealth and resources, and leaving little or none for the average man and women. The average people vastly outnumber the elites
yet support them with their labor. Eventually, the working population crashes
because the portion of wealth allocated to them is not enough, this is followed by collapse
of the elites due to the absence of this labor. This collapse is linked to the populations
of an area and the resources of that areas capability to sustain a finite number of people,
the more people the greater risks. this bringing us to the idea of population
control and all that goes with that, in the interests of keeping this video to a reasonable
we can look at those in another video or you can check out the videos on depopulation and
weather manipulation linked above. Playing right into the hands of conspiracy
theorist he goes onto say that the current political models do not have the means or
the will to do this. Using climate change to govern the decisions
that are needed. They say that over the next 40 years the problems
will worsen significantly. The poorest region have been earmarked as
the first to collapse and just like a house cards the rest will shortly follow. Is this, what we are seeing happening in France
today? The collapse of economies through Europe have
left a large number of young, discontented, unemployed people. These desperate people migrating to the big
cities in search of work are compounding the problem, bottling it into the capital cities
of Europe. A festering bed from which violence sprouts. In the worst cases pundits have said this
can only lead to civil war! There are yet more signs that we’re entering
a dangerous period of change, the increasing occurrence of ‘sudden, unexpected changes
in the order of world’s political structures. Examples of this seen with the 2008 economic
crisis, the rise of isis, brexit, and the election of Donald trump. Some draw parallels between these events and
the final days of Rome, giving the example; that by the end of the 100bc the romans had
spread across the Mediterranean, to the places most easily accessed by sea. They should have stopped there, but things
were going to well and they felt empowered to expand to new frontiers by land. While transportation by sea was economical,
however, transportation across land was slow and expensive. All the while, they were overextending themselves
and running up costs. The empire managed to remain stable in the
ensuing centuries, but repercussions for spreading themselves too thin caught up with them in
the 3rd century, which was plagued by civil war and invasions. The empire tried to maintain its core lands,
even as the army ate up its budget and inflation climbed ever higher as the government debased
its silver currency to try to cover its mounting expenses. While some scholars cite the beginning of
collapse as the year 410, when the invading Visigoths sacked the capital, that dramatic
event was made possible by a downward spiral spanning more than a century. Eventually, Rome could no longer afford to
prop up its heightened complexities and collapsed. The collapse of complex societies a book and
study by Joseph Tainter. Says We should learn the lessons Rome and
it history taught us. He writes; as stated in the laws of thermodynamics,
it takes energy to maintain any system in a complex, ordered state – and human society
is no exception. By the 3rd century, Rome was increasingly
adding new things – an army double the size, a cavalry, subdivided provinces that each
needed their own bureaucracies, courts and defenses – just to maintain its status quo
and keep from sliding backwards. Eventually, it could no longer afford to prop
up those heightened complexities. It was fiscal weakness, not war, which did
the empire in. The west has avoided collapse so far because
of the development of new technologies and the use of fossil fuels, as we see the increase
in the cost oil combining with the need for ever more expensive projects to protect the
infrastructures of the cities from environmental problems brought on by climate change, eventually
the cost will be too much. We could stay off this collapse for a while
longer with the use and development of alternate clean and cheap energy sources, but that has
been a battle due to the dependency of many economies on the petro dollar. As the collapse gathers momentum the issues
begin to snowball. as things worsen in the cities the people who originally moved there
to improve their economic situation will decide that it dangerous and unsafe and would most
likely return to their village town of country of origin, this is problem because they would
also take resources back with them and leave a shortage of cheap labor. The waves of immigration causing more government
control tighter enforcement of rules all adding to the discontent of the population. Something we are seeing today! As this gap between the ‘haves’ and ‘have
not’s widens we see splits in society. By 2050, the us and uk will have evolved into
societies of two classes, where a small number of elites live a good life and there is declining
well-being for the majority.” This in turn setting up the psychological
and social prerequisites for mass violence. When localized violence does break out, or
another country or group decides to invade, collapse will be difficult to avoid. This violent demise is not a foregone conclusion
we could see the west fizzle out a gradual decline and loss of influence similar to the
end of the British Empire. This could see democratic, liberal societies
fail, but allow stronger governments like china to be the winners.” Homer Dixon closes out the article with a
hopeful passage; “Western civilization is not a lost cause,
however. Using reason and science to guide decisions,
paired with extraordinary leadership and exceptional goodwill, human society can progress to higher
and higher levels of well-being and development, homer-Dixon says. Even as we weather the coming stresses of
climate change, population growth and dropping energy returns, we can maintain our societies
and better them. But that requires resisting the very natural
urge, when confronted with such overwhelming pressures, to become less cooperative, less
generous and less open to reason. The question is, how can we manage to preserve
some kind of humane world as we make our way through these changes?” Do you think a collapse is coming? Are we seeing the signs of a dying empire? Is this all fear mongering to take away more
freedoms and shape us into a system that resembles China? Let me know your thoughts in the comments
below. if you enjoy what we do here on the channel
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if thanks so much for watching see you next time